Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's bid for re-election in solidly Republican Idaho underpins the 91% trader consensus for a GOP Senate winner, reflecting the state's heavy GOP voter registration advantage, supermajority in the legislature, and Risch's history of landslide victories exceeding 60% amid low Democratic turnout. With the May 19 primary four days away, Risch faces three challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and others—but benefits from incumbency, seniority on key committees, and reported presidential support. Recent polling scarcity and Cook Political's "Solid Republican" rating reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late scandal, or national Democratic wave, though structural barriers like Idaho's partisan lean keep Democratic odds at 7.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$15,389 वॉल्यूम
$15,389 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
91%
डेमोक्रेट
8%
$15,389 वॉल्यूम
$15,389 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$10,646 वॉल्यूम
91%
डेमोक्रेट
$4,743 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's bid for re-election in solidly Republican Idaho underpins the 91% trader consensus for a GOP Senate winner, reflecting the state's heavy GOP voter registration advantage, supermajority in the legislature, and Risch's history of landslide victories exceeding 60% amid low Democratic turnout. With the May 19 primary four days away, Risch faces three challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and others—but benefits from incumbency, seniority on key committees, and reported presidential support. Recent polling scarcity and Cook Political's "Solid Republican" rating reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late scandal, or national Democratic wave, though structural barriers like Idaho's partisan lean keep Democratic odds at 7.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,389समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's bid for re-election in solidly Republican Idaho underpins the 91% trader consensus for a GOP Senate winner, reflecting the state's heavy GOP voter registration advantage, supermajority in the legislature, and Risch's history of landslide victories exceeding 60% amid low Democratic turnout. With the May 19 primary four days away, Risch faces three challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and others—but benefits from incumbency, seniority on key committees, and reported presidential support. Recent polling scarcity and Cook Political's "Solid Republican" rating reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late scandal, or national Democratic wave, though structural barriers like Idaho's partisan lean keep Democratic odds at 7.5%.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$15,389समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's bid for re-election in solidly Republican Idaho underpins the 91% trader consensus for a GOP Senate winner, reflecting the state's heavy GOP voter registration advantage, supermajority in the legislature, and Risch's history of landslide victories exceeding 60% amid low Democratic turnout. With the May 19 primary four days away, Risch faces three challengers—Joe Evans, Denny LaVé, and others—but benefits from incumbency, seniority on key committees, and reported presidential support. Recent polling scarcity and Cook Political's "Solid Republican" rating reinforce this positioning. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late scandal, or national Democratic wave, though structural barriers like Idaho's partisan lean keep Democratic odds at 7.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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