The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$1,128,437 वॉल्यूम
$1,128,437 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$1,128,437 वॉल्यूम
$1,128,437 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,128,437समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,128,437समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian regime's consolidation of power under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and Revolutionary Guard influence following the February 2026 conflict has reinforced internal cohesion, with security forces demonstrating sustained loyalty amid economic strains from sanctions and blockades. Recent official statements emphasize national unity and wartime resource management to avert domestic unrest, while ongoing diplomatic signals and the absence of reported factional defections or organized plotting reduce near-term coup risks through June. Traders view these structural barriers, including the regime's history of rapid protest suppression and institutional entrenchment, as outweighing isolated rumors from earlier in the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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