Internal power struggles within Iran’s leadership have intensified amid ongoing US and Israeli military pressure and severe economic strain following the February 2026 strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Hardline factions, including elements of the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a “soft coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, sidelining the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who has remained largely absent from public view—and pursuing a US truce that dilutes revolutionary priorities. Speculation has also circulated about potential moves by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to assume greater direct control amid regime fragility, high inflation, sanctions, and factional rifts. Recent Iranian missile strikes on US assets in early September underscore hardline influence over decision-making, while US officials have highlighted risks of internal unrest or IRGC divisions under sustained pressure. These dynamics shape trader assessments of coup-related probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,125,978 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
19%
$2,125,978 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$84,752 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles within Iran’s leadership have intensified amid ongoing US and Israeli military pressure and severe economic strain following the February 2026 strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Hardline factions, including elements of the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a “soft coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, sidelining the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who has remained largely absent from public view—and pursuing a US truce that dilutes revolutionary priorities. Speculation has also circulated about potential moves by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to assume greater direct control amid regime fragility, high inflation, sanctions, and factional rifts. Recent Iranian missile strikes on US assets in early September underscore hardline influence over decision-making, while US officials have highlighted risks of internal unrest or IRGC divisions under sustained pressure. These dynamics shape trader assessments of coup-related probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,125,978समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal power struggles within Iran’s leadership have intensified amid ongoing US and Israeli military pressure and severe economic strain following the February 2026 strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Hardline factions, including elements of the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a “soft coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, sidelining the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who has remained largely absent from public view—and pursuing a US truce that dilutes revolutionary priorities. Speculation has also circulated about potential moves by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to assume greater direct control amid regime fragility, high inflation, sanctions, and factional rifts. Recent Iranian missile strikes on US assets in early September underscore hardline influence over decision-making, while US officials have highlighted risks of internal unrest or IRGC divisions under sustained pressure. These dynamics shape trader assessments of coup-related probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$2,125,978समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Internal power struggles within Iran’s leadership have intensified amid ongoing US and Israeli military pressure and severe economic strain following the February 2026 strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Hardline factions, including elements of the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and negotiators of a “soft coup” by elevating the Supreme National Security Council, sidelining the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who has remained largely absent from public view—and pursuing a US truce that dilutes revolutionary priorities. Speculation has also circulated about potential moves by Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to assume greater direct control amid regime fragility, high inflation, sanctions, and factional rifts. Recent Iranian missile strikes on US assets in early September underscore hardline influence over decision-making, while US officials have highlighted risks of internal unrest or IRGC divisions under sustained pressure. These dynamics shape trader assessments of coup-related probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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