Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily minimum near 26°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity above 75%, prevailing cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal norms, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C across official records. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks project overnight values holding at or slightly above this threshold amid light winds and scattered showers, reducing the likelihood of cooler outcomes. Trader sentiment, reflected in the dominant 26°C implied probability, incorporates this forecast stability and the absence of anomalous cooling influences such as stronger fronts or clear-sky radiational loss. Updated model guidance closer to resolution could refine probabilities if conditions shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 72%
25°C 7%
24°C 1.6%
22°C <1%
$18,176 वॉल्यूम
$18,176 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
73%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
26°C 72%
25°C 7%
24°C 1.6%
22°C <1%
$18,176 वॉल्यूम
$18,176 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
73%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, show strong consensus for a daily minimum near 26°C, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions featuring high humidity above 75%, prevailing cloud cover, and limited overnight radiative cooling. These factors suppress temperature drops below seasonal norms, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C across official records. Multiple model runs and agency outlooks project overnight values holding at or slightly above this threshold amid light winds and scattered showers, reducing the likelihood of cooler outcomes. Trader sentiment, reflected in the dominant 26°C implied probability, incorporates this forecast stability and the absence of anomalous cooling influences such as stronger fronts or clear-sky radiational loss. Updated model guidance closer to resolution could refine probabilities if conditions shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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