Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, reflecting long-serving incumbent Jim McGovern's entrenched position in this solidly blue district with consistent 30+ point victory margins. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as retirement announcements, scandals, or high-profile challengers—have emerged to shift sentiment; McGovern remains active without signaling plans to step down. Structural factors like the district's Democratic lean and incumbency advantage dominate pricing. Odds could move on a surprise primary upset, major scandal, health event, or strong Republican recruit ahead of September 1 primaries, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएमए -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
एमए -02 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$29,845 वॉल्यूम
$29,845 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$29,845 वॉल्यूम
$29,845 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,341 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$9,504 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, reflecting long-serving incumbent Jim McGovern's entrenched position in this solidly blue district with consistent 30+ point victory margins. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as retirement announcements, scandals, or high-profile challengers—have emerged to shift sentiment; McGovern remains active without signaling plans to step down. Structural factors like the district's Democratic lean and incumbency advantage dominate pricing. Odds could move on a surprise primary upset, major scandal, health event, or strong Republican recruit ahead of September 1 primaries, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,845समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, reflecting long-serving incumbent Jim McGovern's entrenched position in this solidly blue district with consistent 30+ point victory margins. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as retirement announcements, scandals, or high-profile challengers—have emerged to shift sentiment; McGovern remains active without signaling plans to step down. Structural factors like the district's Democratic lean and incumbency advantage dominate pricing. Odds could move on a surprise primary upset, major scandal, health event, or strong Republican recruit ahead of September 1 primaries, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,845समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District House seat in November 2026, reflecting long-serving incumbent Jim McGovern's entrenched position in this solidly blue district with consistent 30+ point victory margins. No notable developments in the past 30 days—such as retirement announcements, scandals, or high-profile challengers—have emerged to shift sentiment; McGovern remains active without signaling plans to step down. Structural factors like the district's Democratic lean and incumbency advantage dominate pricing. Odds could move on a surprise primary upset, major scandal, health event, or strong Republican recruit ahead of September 1 primaries, though historical base rates for safe seats suggest low upset risk.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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