Netanyahu remains fully engaged in the campaign for Israel's October 27 Knesset election, actively leveraging security developments such as the recent Flydubai incident and positioning Likud as essential for national defense amid ongoing regional threats. Polls show his bloc competitive though short of a majority, consistent with his stated strategy of blocking rivals to retain influence as caretaker prime minister or opposition leader. He has explicitly told associates he will not step aside or retire from politics even in defeat, a position reinforced by his long tenure, ongoing corruption proceedings, and the short timeline to election day. This sustained commitment, combined with the absence of health or legal triggers for withdrawal, underpins trader consensus against an early exit. Late developments like a sudden coalition shift or personal health event remain the primary variables that could still alter the outlook.