Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota’s reelection bid anchors trader sentiment in the NY-01 House race, supported by the district’s R+4 partisan voting index and his 55 percent margin in the prior cycle. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solid Republican, citing limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising interest amid more competitive national targets. The June 23 primary timeline and broader midterm dynamics further reinforce the current pricing, where the Republican outcome holds a clear lead over Democratic alternatives. Structural factors such as name recognition and baseline turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$20,232 वॉल्यूम
$20,232 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
59%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
23%
$20,232 वॉल्यूम
$20,232 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,326 वॉल्यूम
59%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$13,906 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota’s reelection bid anchors trader sentiment in the NY-01 House race, supported by the district’s R+4 partisan voting index and his 55 percent margin in the prior cycle. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solid Republican, citing limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising interest amid more competitive national targets. The June 23 primary timeline and broader midterm dynamics further reinforce the current pricing, where the Republican outcome holds a clear lead over Democratic alternatives. Structural factors such as name recognition and baseline turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,232समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota’s reelection bid anchors trader sentiment in the NY-01 House race, supported by the district’s R+4 partisan voting index and his 55 percent margin in the prior cycle. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solid Republican, citing limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising interest amid more competitive national targets. The June 23 primary timeline and broader midterm dynamics further reinforce the current pricing, where the Republican outcome holds a clear lead over Democratic alternatives. Structural factors such as name recognition and baseline turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,232समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota’s reelection bid anchors trader sentiment in the NY-01 House race, supported by the district’s R+4 partisan voting index and his 55 percent margin in the prior cycle. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as solid Republican, citing limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising interest amid more competitive national targets. The June 23 primary timeline and broader midterm dynamics further reinforce the current pricing, where the Republican outcome holds a clear lead over Democratic alternatives. Structural factors such as name recognition and baseline turnout patterns continue to shape assessments ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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