Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापुतिन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक रूस के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में बाहर हो जाएंगे?
पुतिन 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक रूस के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में बाहर हो जाएंगे?
हाँ
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
$4,270,274 वॉल्यूम
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus reflects an 88.5% implied probability that Vladimir Putin will remain Russian president through December 31, 2026, anchored in his constitutionally secured term until 2030 and absence of verifiable mechanisms for early removal. Recent public appearances, including his May 9 Victory Day parade address asserting confidence in Ukraine conflict resolution and a May 12 Kremlin video showing him active in Moscow, have reinforced perceptions of stability despite persistent health rumors and waning approval ratings ahead of September parliamentary elections. Ongoing military strikes and elite reshuffles signal consolidated control, with analysts noting Kremlin insiders lack viable paths to oust him absent a major crisis like health collapse or war reversal—scenarios traders view as low-probability before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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