Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel. These surveys show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first-round scenarios and prevailing in all tested runoffs, bolstered by his record as the sitting governor and favorable approval ratings. The absence of a viable third candidate has raised concerns among Workers’ Party strategists that the contest could conclude without a second round, while Kim Kataguiri and others register minimal support below 5 percent. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these polling trends and incumbency advantages ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTarcísio de Freitas 82%
किम कठागुरी 10.4%
Fernando Haddad 8.9%
Erika Hilton 1.4%
$26,472 वॉल्यूम
$26,472 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
82%
किम कठागुरी
10%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Erika Hilton
1%
Márcio França
1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%
किम कठागुरी 10.4%
Fernando Haddad 8.9%
Erika Hilton 1.4%
$26,472 वॉल्यूम
$26,472 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$11,964 वॉल्यूम
82%
किम कठागुरी
$4,221 वॉल्यूम
10%
Fernando Haddad
$4,053 वॉल्यूम
9%
Erika Hilton
$3,685 वॉल्यूम
1%
Márcio França
$2,691 वॉल्यूम
1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel. These surveys show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first-round scenarios and prevailing in all tested runoffs, bolstered by his record as the sitting governor and favorable approval ratings. The absence of a viable third candidate has raised concerns among Workers’ Party strategists that the contest could conclude without a second round, while Kim Kataguiri and others register minimal support below 5 percent. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these polling trends and incumbency advantages ahead of the October 4 vote.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,472समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel. These surveys show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first-round scenarios and prevailing in all tested runoffs, bolstered by his record as the sitting governor and favorable approval ratings. The absence of a viable third candidate has raised concerns among Workers’ Party strategists that the contest could conclude without a second round, while Kim Kataguiri and others register minimal support below 5 percent. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these polling trends and incumbency advantages ahead of the October 4 vote.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$26,472समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a commanding position in the São Paulo gubernatorial race, driven by consistent double-digit leads in recent polling from firms including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel. These surveys show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first-round scenarios and prevailing in all tested runoffs, bolstered by his record as the sitting governor and favorable approval ratings. The absence of a viable third candidate has raised concerns among Workers’ Party strategists that the contest could conclude without a second round, while Kim Kataguiri and others register minimal support below 5 percent. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these polling trends and incumbency advantages ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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