Recent polling averages place Donald Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with recent surveys from Economist/YouGov and others showing figures between 33 and 40 percent amid a gradual decline since the start of the second term. Ongoing military strikes on Iran that resumed in mid-July and the resulting cycle of conflict have weighed on foreign-policy ratings, while persistent inflation, affordability pressures, and broader economic sentiment continue to shape public views ahead of the midterms. These developments have kept outcomes clustered in the late 30s, reflecting trader consensus on the current trajectory of approval numbers. No major countervailing events have shifted the range in the immediate days before August 14.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया38.0–38.4 75%
37.5–37.9 25%
37.0–37.4 10%
39.0+ 2.4%
$5,042 वॉल्यूम
$5,042 वॉल्यूम
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
12%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
74%
38.5–38.9
27%
39.0+
2%
38.0–38.4 75%
37.5–37.9 25%
37.0–37.4 10%
39.0+ 2.4%
$5,042 वॉल्यूम
$5,042 वॉल्यूम
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
12%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
74%
38.5–38.9
27%
39.0+
2%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent in early August 2026, with recent surveys from Economist/YouGov and others showing figures between 33 and 40 percent amid a gradual decline since the start of the second term. Ongoing military strikes on Iran that resumed in mid-July and the resulting cycle of conflict have weighed on foreign-policy ratings, while persistent inflation, affordability pressures, and broader economic sentiment continue to shape public views ahead of the midterms. These developments have kept outcomes clustered in the late 30s, reflecting trader consensus on the current trajectory of approval numbers. No major countervailing events have shifted the range in the immediate days before August 14.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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