Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating support in a Houston-centered seat redrawn to include heavily Democratic precincts. The district delivered roughly 77 percent of the vote to Democratic candidates in the prior cycle, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for the party. Menefee’s early fundraising advantage and primary performance have reinforced trader expectations of a wide general-election margin against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. The 96.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event, or turnout collapse could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with comparable partisan composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-18 House Election Winner
TX-18 House Election Winner
$12,751 वॉल्यूम
$12,751 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$12,751 वॉल्यूम
$12,751 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,372 वॉल्यूम
96%
Republican Party
$379 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating support in a Houston-centered seat redrawn to include heavily Democratic precincts. The district delivered roughly 77 percent of the vote to Democratic candidates in the prior cycle, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for the party. Menefee’s early fundraising advantage and primary performance have reinforced trader expectations of a wide general-election margin against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. The 96.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event, or turnout collapse could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with comparable partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,751समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating support in a Houston-centered seat redrawn to include heavily Democratic precincts. The district delivered roughly 77 percent of the vote to Democratic candidates in the prior cycle, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for the party. Menefee’s early fundraising advantage and primary performance have reinforced trader expectations of a wide general-election margin against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. The 96.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event, or turnout collapse could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with comparable partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,751समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating support in a Houston-centered seat redrawn to include heavily Democratic precincts. The district delivered roughly 77 percent of the vote to Democratic candidates in the prior cycle, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid for the party. Menefee’s early fundraising advantage and primary performance have reinforced trader expectations of a wide general-election margin against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. The 96.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural advantage and absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event, or turnout collapse could narrow the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with comparable partisan composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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