Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
FL -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$13,987 वॉल्यूम
$13,987 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,987 वॉल्यूम
$13,987 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$7,382 वॉल्यूम
83%
Democratic Party
$6,605 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,987समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$13,987समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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