Phil Scott secured the Republican nomination for Vermont governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with 98.3% of the vote against write-ins, reflecting his status as a longtime incumbent with broad party support and no serious primary challengers. Lt. Gov. John Rodgers, who had previously considered higher office, instead sought re-election unopposed in his own race, leaving the gubernatorial contest uncontested. Traders' near-certain pricing on Scott aligns with this outcome and Vermont's pattern of low primary turnout and incumbent dominance in Republican contests. Certification of results or any late procedural challenges remain the only narrow paths that could theoretically alter the market, though none have emerged.