The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
130m+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
120-125m 12%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
11%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
26%
130m+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
120-125m 12%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
1%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
6%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
16%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
19%
125-130m
$1,204 Vol.
23%
130m+
$307 Vol.
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,260Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,260Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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