This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads Alaska's 2026 open gubernatorial race at 48% implied probability, reflecting his strong polling edge of roughly 44% ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance regardless of party. As the only prominent Democrat in a field of 17, Begich benefits from consolidated support and name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader, positioning him to advance alongside one or two Republicans. Bernadette Wilson, at 25.5%, heads the fragmented GOP field after entering in 2025 and polling near 19%, aided by conservative media visibility and campaign infrastructure. Other Republicans including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and David Bronson trail due to vote splitting in the crowded primary, with heavy pre-primary spending exceeding $10 million underscoring the scramble for limited voter attention. The November general election under ranked-choice voting among the four advancers introduces further uncertainty, though Begich's primary positioning underpins current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads Alaska's 2026 open gubernatorial race at 48% implied probability, reflecting his strong polling edge of roughly 44% ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance regardless of party. As the only prominent Democrat in a field of 17, Begich benefits from consolidated support and name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader, positioning him to advance alongside one or two Republicans. Bernadette Wilson, at 25.5%, heads the fragmented GOP field after entering in 2025 and polling near 19%, aided by conservative media visibility and campaign infrastructure. Other Republicans including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and David Bronson trail due to vote splitting in the crowded primary, with heavy pre-primary spending exceeding $10 million underscoring the scramble for limited voter attention. The November general election under ranked-choice voting among the four advancers introduces further uncertainty, though Begich's primary positioning underpins current trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Apr 28 2026
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads Alaska's 2026 open gubernatorial race at 48% implied probability, reflecting his strong polling edge of roughly 44% ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance regardless of party. As the only prominent Democrat in a field of 17, Begich benefits from consolidated support and name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader, positioning him to advance alongside one or two Republicans. Bernadette Wilson, at 25.5%, heads the fragmented GOP field after entering in 2025 and polling near 19%, aided by conservative media visibility and campaign infrastructure. Other Republicans including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and David Bronson trail due to vote splitting in the crowded primary, with heavy pre-primary spending exceeding $10 million underscoring the scramble for limited voter attention. The November general election under ranked-choice voting among the four advancers introduces further uncertainty, though Begich's primary positioning underpins current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads Alaska's 2026 open gubernatorial race at 48% implied probability, reflecting his strong polling edge of roughly 44% ahead of the August 18 top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance regardless of party. As the only prominent Democrat in a field of 17, Begich benefits from consolidated support and name recognition as a former state Senate minority leader, positioning him to advance alongside one or two Republicans. Bernadette Wilson, at 25.5%, heads the fragmented GOP field after entering in 2025 and polling near 19%, aided by conservative media visibility and campaign infrastructure. Other Republicans including Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and David Bronson trail due to vote splitting in the crowded primary, with heavy pre-primary spending exceeding $10 million underscoring the scramble for limited voter attention. The November general election under ranked-choice voting among the four advancers introduces further uncertainty, though Begich's primary positioning underpins current trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Apr 28 2026
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 22 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Begich" di 48%, diikuti oleh "Bernadette Wilson" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" telah menghasilkan $1.1 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska," jelajahi 22 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" adalah "Tom Begich" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $1.1 million diperdagangkan pada "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 48¢ untuk "Tom Begich" di pasar "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 48% bahwa "Tom Begich" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 48¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 52¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" dijadwalkan diselesaikan pada atau sekitar Nov 2, 2026. Ini berarti trading akan tetap terbuka dan peluang akan terus bergeser saat informasi baru muncul sampai tanggal tersebut. Waktu resolusi tepat tergantung pada kapan hasil resmi tersedia, seperti diuraikan di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini.
Pasar "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska" memiliki diskusi yang berkembang dengan 2 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
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