Ares Capital (ARCC) faces an elevated probability of missing consensus EPS estimates for its Q3 2026 results, scheduled for release October 27, due to a streak of eight consecutive quarters without a beat. The company reported $0.47 EPS in Q2 2026, matching or slightly missing the $0.473 consensus amid lower transaction activity and portfolio volatility typical of business development companies. Analysts project Q3 EPS near $0.476–$0.48, down from $0.50 a year earlier, with revenue also expected to contract sharply. Persistent shortfalls in net investment income and unrealized losses have weighed on results, reinforcing trader skepticism ahead of the print. Market-implied odds reflect this established pattern of underperformance relative to Wall Street targets.