**Deep Fission’s proposed Nasdaq IPO (ticker FISN) faces significant skepticism from traders, reflected in the 53.1% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion and 22.3% chance of no IPO before August 2026.** The company launched its roadshow in May 2026 for a 6 million share offering priced at $24–$26, targeting roughly $1.4–1.7 billion valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data centers. However, the S-1 reveals pre-revenue status, mounting losses exceeding $88 million, a going-concern auditor opinion, and slippage in reactor criticality timelines with no updated target provided. A prior 2025 reverse merger via SPAC produced no active trading, raising questions about execution and investor appetite for this speculative nuclear technology at the sought valuation amid broader market caution on early-stage energy startups. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised pricing terms or withdrawal signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<$1.25B 66.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
No IPO before August 2026 1.0%
$19,221 Vol.
$19,221 Vol.
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
53%
$1.25B–$1.5B
29%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
28%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
16%
$3.0B+
14%
No IPO before August 2026
22%
<$1.25B 66.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
No IPO before August 2026 1.0%
$19,221 Vol.
$19,221 Vol.
May 29, 2026
<$1.25B
$1,070 Vol.
53%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$727 Vol.
29%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,526 Vol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,332 Vol.
28%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$815 Vol.
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$599 Vol.
16%
$3.0B+
$714 Vol.
14%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,437 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s proposed Nasdaq IPO (ticker FISN) faces significant skepticism from traders, reflected in the 53.1% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion and 22.3% chance of no IPO before August 2026.** The company launched its roadshow in May 2026 for a 6 million share offering priced at $24–$26, targeting roughly $1.4–1.7 billion valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data centers. However, the S-1 reveals pre-revenue status, mounting losses exceeding $88 million, a going-concern auditor opinion, and slippage in reactor criticality timelines with no updated target provided. A prior 2025 reverse merger via SPAC produced no active trading, raising questions about execution and investor appetite for this speculative nuclear technology at the sought valuation amid broader market caution on early-stage energy startups. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised pricing terms or withdrawal signals.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$19,221Tanggal Berakhir
May 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**Deep Fission’s proposed Nasdaq IPO (ticker FISN) faces significant skepticism from traders, reflected in the 53.1% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion and 22.3% chance of no IPO before August 2026.** The company launched its roadshow in May 2026 for a 6 million share offering priced at $24–$26, targeting roughly $1.4–1.7 billion valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data centers. However, the S-1 reveals pre-revenue status, mounting losses exceeding $88 million, a going-concern auditor opinion, and slippage in reactor criticality timelines with no updated target provided. A prior 2025 reverse merger via SPAC produced no active trading, raising questions about execution and investor appetite for this speculative nuclear technology at the sought valuation amid broader market caution on early-stage energy startups. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised pricing terms or withdrawal signals.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$19,221Tanggal Berakhir
May 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Deep Fission’s proposed Nasdaq IPO (ticker FISN) faces significant skepticism from traders, reflected in the 53.1% implied probability for a closing market cap below $1.25 billion and 22.3% chance of no IPO before August 2026.** The company launched its roadshow in May 2026 for a 6 million share offering priced at $24–$26, targeting roughly $1.4–1.7 billion valuation to fund underground small modular reactor development aimed at AI data centers. However, the S-1 reveals pre-revenue status, mounting losses exceeding $88 million, a going-concern auditor opinion, and slippage in reactor criticality timelines with no updated target provided. A prior 2025 reverse merger via SPAC produced no active trading, raising questions about execution and investor appetite for this speculative nuclear technology at the sought valuation amid broader market caution on early-stage energy startups. Key upcoming catalysts include any revised pricing terms or withdrawal signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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