The European Central Bank's Governing Council has held its key interest rates steady through April 2026, with the deposit facility fixed at 2.00 percent, amid upward revisions to 2026 headline inflation forecasts reaching 2.6 percent. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven April euro-area inflation to 3 percent, prompting officials to debate potential tightening measures and signal data-dependent vigilance rather than further easing. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg now anticipate two quarter-point hikes this year, while institutions including the IMF project a net 50-basis-point increase to maintain a neutral stance. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks outweigh subdued growth, reducing the likelihood of any rate reduction through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council has held its key interest rates steady through April 2026, with the deposit facility fixed at 2.00 percent, amid upward revisions to 2026 headline inflation forecasts reaching 2.6 percent. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven April euro-area inflation to 3 percent, prompting officials to debate potential tightening measures and signal data-dependent vigilance rather than further easing. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg now anticipate two quarter-point hikes this year, while institutions including the IMF project a net 50-basis-point increase to maintain a neutral stance. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks outweigh subdued growth, reducing the likelihood of any rate reduction through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$27,913Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council has held its key interest rates steady through April 2026, with the deposit facility fixed at 2.00 percent, amid upward revisions to 2026 headline inflation forecasts reaching 2.6 percent. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven April euro-area inflation to 3 percent, prompting officials to debate potential tightening measures and signal data-dependent vigilance rather than further easing. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg now anticipate two quarter-point hikes this year, while institutions including the IMF project a net 50-basis-point increase to maintain a neutral stance. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks outweigh subdued growth, reducing the likelihood of any rate reduction through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,913Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council has held its key interest rates steady through April 2026, with the deposit facility fixed at 2.00 percent, amid upward revisions to 2026 headline inflation forecasts reaching 2.6 percent. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven April euro-area inflation to 3 percent, prompting officials to debate potential tightening measures and signal data-dependent vigilance rather than further easing. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg now anticipate two quarter-point hikes this year, while institutions including the IMF project a net 50-basis-point increase to maintain a neutral stance. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that persistent price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks outweigh subdued growth, reducing the likelihood of any rate reduction through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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