Recent daily averages near 26 posts per day, drawn from live trackers covering the past week, anchor trader expectations for the August 8–10 window and place the 40–64 range at the top of implied probabilities. Weekend patterns historically run lighter than weekdays, while the absence of immediate major product launches or breaking news cycles limits upside momentum into the 65–89 bracket. Traders weigh this baseline against Elon’s capacity for rapid spikes during high-visibility moments on X, yet the current absence of such catalysts keeps higher ranges thinly traded. The three-day duration and proximity to the period further compress probabilities around moderate volume, reflecting aggregated real-money sentiment on typical engagement without extraordinary events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 49%
65-89 26%
<40 20%
90-114 6%
BARU
$22,048 Vol.
BARU
$22,048 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
20%
40-64
49%
65-89
26%
90-114
6%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 26%
<40 20%
90-114 6%
BARU
$22,048 Vol.
BARU
$22,048 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
<40
$1,086 Vol.
20%
40-64
$1,624 Vol.
49%
65-89
$2,112 Vol.
26%
90-114
$1,820 Vol.
6%
115-139
$3,389 Vol.
2%
140-164
$825 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$788 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$3,176 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent daily averages near 26 posts per day, drawn from live trackers covering the past week, anchor trader expectations for the August 8–10 window and place the 40–64 range at the top of implied probabilities. Weekend patterns historically run lighter than weekdays, while the absence of immediate major product launches or breaking news cycles limits upside momentum into the 65–89 bracket. Traders weigh this baseline against Elon’s capacity for rapid spikes during high-visibility moments on X, yet the current absence of such catalysts keeps higher ranges thinly traded. The three-day duration and proximity to the period further compress probabilities around moderate volume, reflecting aggregated real-money sentiment on typical engagement without extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$22,048Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent daily averages near 26 posts per day, drawn from live trackers covering the past week, anchor trader expectations for the August 8–10 window and place the 40–64 range at the top of implied probabilities. Weekend patterns historically run lighter than weekdays, while the absence of immediate major product launches or breaking news cycles limits upside momentum into the 65–89 bracket. Traders weigh this baseline against Elon’s capacity for rapid spikes during high-visibility moments on X, yet the current absence of such catalysts keeps higher ranges thinly traded. The three-day duration and proximity to the period further compress probabilities around moderate volume, reflecting aggregated real-money sentiment on typical engagement without extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,048Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent daily averages near 26 posts per day, drawn from live trackers covering the past week, anchor trader expectations for the August 8–10 window and place the 40–64 range at the top of implied probabilities. Weekend patterns historically run lighter than weekdays, while the absence of immediate major product launches or breaking news cycles limits upside momentum into the 65–89 bracket. Traders weigh this baseline against Elon’s capacity for rapid spikes during high-visibility moments on X, yet the current absence of such catalysts keeps higher ranges thinly traded. The three-day duration and proximity to the period further compress probabilities around moderate volume, reflecting aggregated real-money sentiment on typical engagement without extraordinary events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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