Ongoing US-Iran military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz region, including strikes on Iranian coastal defenses and nearby islands such as Qeshm and Greater Tunb through mid-2026, have targeted naval and missile infrastructure but produced no confirmed shift in control over Farsi Island itself. Iranian forces continue to maintain operational presence on the small island, which lies near key maritime routes. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing shows negligible probability of Iranian control ending by the August 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the absence of any recent amphibious operations, occupation reports, or diplomatic agreements altering sovereignty. Future developments that could influence outcomes include escalated direct engagements, ceasefire terms addressing island status, or verified transfers of authority before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$169,749 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$169,749 Vol.
August 31
$160,857 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz region, including strikes on Iranian coastal defenses and nearby islands such as Qeshm and Greater Tunb through mid-2026, have targeted naval and missile infrastructure but produced no confirmed shift in control over Farsi Island itself. Iranian forces continue to maintain operational presence on the small island, which lies near key maritime routes. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing shows negligible probability of Iranian control ending by the August 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the absence of any recent amphibious operations, occupation reports, or diplomatic agreements altering sovereignty. Future developments that could influence outcomes include escalated direct engagements, ceasefire terms addressing island status, or verified transfers of authority before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volume
$169,749Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz region, including strikes on Iranian coastal defenses and nearby islands such as Qeshm and Greater Tunb through mid-2026, have targeted naval and missile infrastructure but produced no confirmed shift in control over Farsi Island itself. Iranian forces continue to maintain operational presence on the small island, which lies near key maritime routes. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing shows negligible probability of Iranian control ending by the August 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the absence of any recent amphibious operations, occupation reports, or diplomatic agreements altering sovereignty. Future developments that could influence outcomes include escalated direct engagements, ceasefire terms addressing island status, or verified transfers of authority before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,749Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military tensions in the Strait of Hormuz region, including strikes on Iranian coastal defenses and nearby islands such as Qeshm and Greater Tunb through mid-2026, have targeted naval and missile infrastructure but produced no confirmed shift in control over Farsi Island itself. Iranian forces continue to maintain operational presence on the small island, which lies near key maritime routes. Trader consensus reflected in market pricing shows negligible probability of Iranian control ending by the August 31, 2026 resolution date, consistent with the absence of any recent amphibious operations, occupation reports, or diplomatic agreements altering sovereignty. Future developments that could influence outcomes include escalated direct engagements, ceasefire terms addressing island status, or verified transfers of authority before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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