Catalina Lauf holds the lead in trader consensus for the Republican nomination in Florida's 19th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primary, reflecting her recent entry with strong conservative credentials from prior Trump administration service and national fundraising networks. Jim Schwartzel trails as the top local contender, bolstered by his media business ties and early campaign organization in the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Madison Cawthorn, Jim Oberweis, and the remaining field compete for the Trump-aligned vote in a crowded contest of recent transplants and established figures, with no dominant polling yet shifting the implied probabilities. Upcoming candidate forums and endorsements through early summer remain the key variables that could adjust positioning before voters decide.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCatalina Lauf 43%
Jim Schwartzel 22.4%
Jim Oberweis 11.8%
Madison Cawthorn 10.8%
$22,929 Vol.
$22,929 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
43%
Jim Schwartzel
22%
Jim Oberweis
12%
Madison Cawthorn
11%
Spencer Roach
6%
Bob Rommel
3%
Catalina Lauf 43%
Jim Schwartzel 22.4%
Jim Oberweis 11.8%
Madison Cawthorn 10.8%
$22,929 Vol.
$22,929 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
43%
Jim Schwartzel
22%
Jim Oberweis
12%
Madison Cawthorn
11%
Spencer Roach
6%
Bob Rommel
3%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf holds the lead in trader consensus for the Republican nomination in Florida's 19th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primary, reflecting her recent entry with strong conservative credentials from prior Trump administration service and national fundraising networks. Jim Schwartzel trails as the top local contender, bolstered by his media business ties and early campaign organization in the open seat vacated by Byron Donalds. Madison Cawthorn, Jim Oberweis, and the remaining field compete for the Trump-aligned vote in a crowded contest of recent transplants and established figures, with no dominant polling yet shifting the implied probabilities. Upcoming candidate forums and endorsements through early summer remain the key variables that could adjust positioning before voters decide.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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