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FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 41%

Jim Schwartzel 24.3%

Jim Oberweis 11.5%

Madison Cawthorn 10.7%

Polymarket

$22,929 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 41%

Jim Schwartzel 24.3%

Jim Oberweis 11.5%

Madison Cawthorn 10.7%

Polymarket

$22,929 Vol.

Catalina Lauf

$16,803 Vol.

41%

Jim Schwartzel

$604 Vol.

24%

Jim Oberweis

$2,682 Vol.

12%

Madison Cawthorn

$1,318 Vol.

11%

Spencer Roach

$656 Vol.

6%

Bob Rommel

$865 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, created by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial campaign, has produced a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring multiple self-funded candidates. Trader consensus currently shows Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel in a near tie, driven by their respective early fundraising hauls and positioning among conservative voters in this deep-red district. Jim Oberweis’s substantial personal loans and Madison Cawthorn’s recent endorsements have kept pressure on the leaders, while lower-polling entrants like Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel have yet to consolidate meaningful support. The tight spread reflects ongoing competition in campaign resources and ideological messaging, with no single contender yet establishing a decisive edge ahead of the summer primary season.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,929
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, created by U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial campaign, has produced a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring multiple self-funded candidates. Trader consensus currently shows Catalina Lauf and Jim Schwartzel in a near tie, driven by their respective early fundraising hauls and positioning among conservative voters in this deep-red district. Jim Oberweis’s substantial personal loans and Madison Cawthorn’s recent endorsements have kept pressure on the leaders, while lower-polling entrants like Spencer Roach and Bob Rommel have yet to consolidate meaningful support. The tight spread reflects ongoing competition in campaign resources and ideological messaging, with no single contender yet establishing a decisive edge ahead of the summer primary season.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,929
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Catalina Lauf" di 41%, diikuti oleh "Jim Schwartzel" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 41¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 41% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $22.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Catalina Lauf" di 41%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 41% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jim Schwartzel" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.