The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNo IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
200–250B <1%
<150B <1%
150–200B <1%
$276,020 Vol.
$276,020 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
<1%
150–200B
<1%
200–250B
1%
250–300B
<1%
300B+
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
200–250B <1%
<150B <1%
150–200B <1%
$276,020 Vol.
$276,020 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
$100,064 Vol.
<1%
150–200B
$42,952 Vol.
<1%
200–250B
$31,025 Vol.
1%
250–300B
$14,222 Vol.
<1%
300B+
$19,266 Vol.
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$68,491 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$276,020Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$276,020Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan