Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 83–84°F for Chicago on August 26, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and a 60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This forecast supports the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins in trader positioning. Key variables include the timing and coverage of convection, which may reduce insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger surface heating; lake-influenced moisture and modest dew points around 65–70°F also factor into the energy available for storms. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signals for the day’s maximum temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
84-85°F 51%
82-83°F 32%
88-89°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
51%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 51%
82-83°F 32%
88-89°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
75°F or below
$15 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$17 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$129 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$100 Vol.
51%
86-87°F
$24 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$62 Vol.
14%
90-91°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 83–84°F for Chicago on August 26, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and a 60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This forecast supports the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins in trader positioning. Key variables include the timing and coverage of convection, which may reduce insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger surface heating; lake-influenced moisture and modest dew points around 65–70°F also factor into the energy available for storms. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signals for the day’s maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$412Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 83–84°F for Chicago on August 26, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and a 60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This forecast supports the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins in trader positioning. Key variables include the timing and coverage of convection, which may reduce insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger surface heating; lake-influenced moisture and modest dew points around 65–70°F also factor into the energy available for storms. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signals for the day’s maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$412Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 83–84°F for Chicago on August 26, with southwest winds of 10–15 mph and a 60% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This forecast supports the near-even split between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins in trader positioning. Key variables include the timing and coverage of convection, which may reduce insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing stronger surface heating; lake-influenced moisture and modest dew points around 65–70°F also factor into the energy available for storms. Updated model runs and NWS briefings expected overnight will provide the next resolution signals for the day’s maximum temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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