Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas highs for August 2 in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 96–99 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while dew points near 70 °F add modest heat-index amplification without altering the dry-bulb peak. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology of 96–99 °F averages; any westward shift in the subtropical ridge or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could trim the high by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range guidance arriving overnight will provide the next key data point for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 2?
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 33%
94-95°F 9%
100-101°F 8%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance positions Dallas highs for August 2 in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 96–99 °F bins. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while dew points near 70 °F add modest heat-index amplification without altering the dry-bulb peak. Ensemble model runs show limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology of 96–99 °F averages; any westward shift in the subtropical ridge or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could trim the high by 2–3 °F. Updated short-range guidance arriving overnight will provide the next key data point for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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