Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,819 Vol.
$93,819 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,819 Vol.
$93,819 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,774 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,496 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,672 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$22,570 Vol.
99%
34°C
$16,425 Vol.
1%
35°C
$13,980 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,112 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$93,819Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$93,819Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C across urban areas on August 13 under sunny periods with isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage and associated subsidence that has stabilized the atmosphere and limited extreme heating relative to the record 36.8°C observed earlier in the month. Midsummer climatology for the region centers on 31–33°C highs, reinforced by model consensus showing moderate cloud cover, urban heat-island moderation, and southeasterly flow suppressing further intensification. This underpins the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds for 33°C as the highest temperature. Afternoon convection or minor steering adjustments could cap readings at or below forecast levels, while unexpected clear-sky conditions would be required to push toward 34°C or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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