Building high pressure over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine for London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models pointing to peak temperatures near 35°C under light winds and clear skies. This setup favors strong daytime heating, though minor differences in cloud timing, adiabatic warming intensity, and London’s urban heat-island effect create tight model spread around the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C, captures this forecast uncertainty, with resolution depending on official station readings. Historical August maxima and current heatwave conditions provide context for the elevated range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 44%
35°C 42%
34°C 9%
37°C 7%
BARU
$18,234 Vol.
BARU
$18,234 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
42%
36°C
44%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 44%
35°C 42%
34°C 9%
37°C 7%
BARU
$18,234 Vol.
BARU
$18,234 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$4,007 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$761 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,473 Vol.
3%
34°C
$2,484 Vol.
9%
35°C
$2,995 Vol.
42%
36°C
$2,682 Vol.
44%
37°C
$1,113 Vol.
7%
38°C
$1,064 Vol.
2%
39°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine for London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models pointing to peak temperatures near 35°C under light winds and clear skies. This setup favors strong daytime heating, though minor differences in cloud timing, adiabatic warming intensity, and London’s urban heat-island effect create tight model spread around the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C, captures this forecast uncertainty, with resolution depending on official station readings. Historical August maxima and current heatwave conditions provide context for the elevated range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,234Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine for London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models pointing to peak temperatures near 35°C under light winds and clear skies. This setup favors strong daytime heating, though minor differences in cloud timing, adiabatic warming intensity, and London’s urban heat-island effect create tight model spread around the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C, captures this forecast uncertainty, with resolution depending on official station readings. Historical August maxima and current heatwave conditions provide context for the elevated range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,234Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Building high pressure over the UK is driving subsidence warming and prolonged sunshine for London on August 13, with Met Office guidance and ensemble models pointing to peak temperatures near 35°C under light winds and clear skies. This setup favors strong daytime heating, though minor differences in cloud timing, adiabatic warming intensity, and London’s urban heat-island effect create tight model spread around the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C, captures this forecast uncertainty, with resolution depending on official station readings. Historical August maxima and current heatwave conditions provide context for the elevated range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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