Current forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate a high near 28°C for Jinan on August 12 amid light rain and northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold that holds 90% market-implied probability. Jinan’s East Asian monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs of 31–33°C, and while recent Shandong heat warnings highlighted 35–40°C readings earlier in the month, incoming moisture and modest cooling moderate expectations without dropping below the dominant outcome. Model consensus and climatological baselines continue to favor temperatures in the upper 20s°C range, with limited downside risk from any forecast revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
26°C or higher 92%
25°C 6%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
92%
26°C or higher 92%
25°C 6%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$73 Vol.
1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
1%
22°C
$71 Vol.
1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
1%
24°C
$84 Vol.
1%
25°C
$19 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$363 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate a high near 28°C for Jinan on August 12 amid light rain and northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold that holds 90% market-implied probability. Jinan’s East Asian monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs of 31–33°C, and while recent Shandong heat warnings highlighted 35–40°C readings earlier in the month, incoming moisture and modest cooling moderate expectations without dropping below the dominant outcome. Model consensus and climatological baselines continue to favor temperatures in the upper 20s°C range, with limited downside risk from any forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,042Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate a high near 28°C for Jinan on August 12 amid light rain and northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold that holds 90% market-implied probability. Jinan’s East Asian monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs of 31–33°C, and while recent Shandong heat warnings highlighted 35–40°C readings earlier in the month, incoming moisture and modest cooling moderate expectations without dropping below the dominant outcome. Model consensus and climatological baselines continue to favor temperatures in the upper 20s°C range, with limited downside risk from any forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,042Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological sources indicate a high near 28°C for Jinan on August 12 amid light rain and northeasterly flow, well above the 26°C threshold that holds 90% market-implied probability. Jinan’s East Asian monsoon climate typically produces early-August highs of 31–33°C, and while recent Shandong heat warnings highlighted 35–40°C readings earlier in the month, incoming moisture and modest cooling moderate expectations without dropping below the dominant outcome. Model consensus and climatological baselines continue to favor temperatures in the upper 20s°C range, with limited downside risk from any forecast revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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