Prevailing mid-August atmospheric conditions over northern China, combined with official forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, support daily highs in Jinan well above 26°C. Typical seasonal baselines show August maxima averaging 29–34°C, with recent model runs projecting 28–31°C for August 11 amid humid, thundershower-prone patterns that rarely suppress peak temperatures below this threshold. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these climatological and short-term dynamical factors, as historical records and current observational trends indicate minimal risk of anomalous cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted strong cold surge or major model error revising the high downward by several degrees.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 11?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
16°C or below
$725 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$799 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,240 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Prevailing mid-August atmospheric conditions over northern China, combined with official forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, support daily highs in Jinan well above 26°C. Typical seasonal baselines show August maxima averaging 29–34°C, with recent model runs projecting 28–31°C for August 11 amid humid, thundershower-prone patterns that rarely suppress peak temperatures below this threshold. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these climatological and short-term dynamical factors, as historical records and current observational trends indicate minimal risk of anomalous cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted strong cold surge or major model error revising the high downward by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,712Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Prevailing mid-August atmospheric conditions over northern China, combined with official forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, support daily highs in Jinan well above 26°C. Typical seasonal baselines show August maxima averaging 29–34°C, with recent model runs projecting 28–31°C for August 11 amid humid, thundershower-prone patterns that rarely suppress peak temperatures below this threshold. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these climatological and short-term dynamical factors, as historical records and current observational trends indicate minimal risk of anomalous cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted strong cold surge or major model error revising the high downward by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,712Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Prevailing mid-August atmospheric conditions over northern China, combined with official forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, support daily highs in Jinan well above 26°C. Typical seasonal baselines show August maxima averaging 29–34°C, with recent model runs projecting 28–31°C for August 11 amid humid, thundershower-prone patterns that rarely suppress peak temperatures below this threshold. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these climatological and short-term dynamical factors, as historical records and current observational trends indicate minimal risk of anomalous cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted strong cold surge or major model error revising the high downward by several degrees.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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