Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a most likely daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, with ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF showing a tight cluster between 33–35°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate onshore flow. This scientific consensus positions 35°C as the modal outcome at 60.5% implied probability, while the 21% on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential slight reductions in sea-breeze cooling. Recent stable synoptic conditions across the eastern Mediterranean have kept temperature spreads narrow, limiting support for extremes below 34°C or above 36°C. Updated model runs and the final IMS briefing before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
35°C 61%
36°C 23%
34°C 14%
37°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
14%
35°C
61%
36°C
23%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 61%
36°C 23%
34°C 14%
37°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
$181 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$344 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,363 Vol.
14%
35°C
$1,748 Vol.
61%
36°C
$899 Vol.
23%
37°C
$243 Vol.
4%
38°C
$363 Vol.
1%
39°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a most likely daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, with ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF showing a tight cluster between 33–35°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate onshore flow. This scientific consensus positions 35°C as the modal outcome at 60.5% implied probability, while the 21% on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential slight reductions in sea-breeze cooling. Recent stable synoptic conditions across the eastern Mediterranean have kept temperature spreads narrow, limiting support for extremes below 34°C or above 36°C. Updated model runs and the final IMS briefing before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,706Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a most likely daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, with ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF showing a tight cluster between 33–35°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate onshore flow. This scientific consensus positions 35°C as the modal outcome at 60.5% implied probability, while the 21% on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential slight reductions in sea-breeze cooling. Recent stable synoptic conditions across the eastern Mediterranean have kept temperature spreads narrow, limiting support for extremes below 34°C or above 36°C. Updated model runs and the final IMS briefing before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,706Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a most likely daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, with ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF showing a tight cluster between 33–35°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate onshore flow. This scientific consensus positions 35°C as the modal outcome at 60.5% implied probability, while the 21% on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential slight reductions in sea-breeze cooling. Recent stable synoptic conditions across the eastern Mediterranean have kept temperature spreads narrow, limiting support for extremes below 34°C or above 36°C. Updated model runs and the final IMS briefing before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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