National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 11 project a high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s near-even split favoring 98–99°F over 100–101°F. A persistent upper-level ridge sustains hot conditions near the August climatological average of 98°F, while rising boundary-layer moisture and isolated afternoon thunderstorm potential introduce modest evaporative cooling that limits further warming. Recent model runs show low spread and stable guidance, though overnight convection or mixing variations could shift the peak 1–2°F. Traders weight these factors heavily, discounting extremes outside 96–101°F given the tight consensus and limited time before official station observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 11?
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 5%
104-105°F 2.7%
BARU
$17,995 Vol.
BARU
$17,995 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 5%
104-105°F 2.7%
BARU
$17,995 Vol.
BARU
$17,995 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
89°F or below
$850 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$773 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$819 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,153 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,669 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$5,460 Vol.
51%
100-101°F
$2,009 Vol.
43%
102-103°F
$951 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$885 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$969 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$2,459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 11 project a high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s near-even split favoring 98–99°F over 100–101°F. A persistent upper-level ridge sustains hot conditions near the August climatological average of 98°F, while rising boundary-layer moisture and isolated afternoon thunderstorm potential introduce modest evaporative cooling that limits further warming. Recent model runs show low spread and stable guidance, though overnight convection or mixing variations could shift the peak 1–2°F. Traders weight these factors heavily, discounting extremes outside 96–101°F given the tight consensus and limited time before official station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$17,995Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 11 project a high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s near-even split favoring 98–99°F over 100–101°F. A persistent upper-level ridge sustains hot conditions near the August climatological average of 98°F, while rising boundary-layer moisture and isolated afternoon thunderstorm potential introduce modest evaporative cooling that limits further warming. Recent model runs show low spread and stable guidance, though overnight convection or mixing variations could shift the peak 1–2°F. Traders weight these factors heavily, discounting extremes outside 96–101°F given the tight consensus and limited time before official station observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,995Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 11 project a high near 98–99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, supporting the market’s near-even split favoring 98–99°F over 100–101°F. A persistent upper-level ridge sustains hot conditions near the August climatological average of 98°F, while rising boundary-layer moisture and isolated afternoon thunderstorm potential introduce modest evaporative cooling that limits further warming. Recent model runs show low spread and stable guidance, though overnight convection or mixing variations could shift the peak 1–2°F. Traders weight these factors heavily, discounting extremes outside 96–101°F given the tight consensus and limited time before official station observations resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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