Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny Tuesday with a high of 28°C in Toronto, slightly above the mid-August climatological normal of 25–26°C. This baseline, combined with clear skies expected to maximize diurnal heating under light winds and moderate humidity, underpins the market’s close split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak temperature, with any differences likely arising from minor timing of cloud cover or localized lake-breeze effects rather than large-scale atmospheric shifts. Traders appear to weigh the potential for the actual maximum to settle one degree lower if boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 18?
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny Tuesday with a high of 28°C in Toronto, slightly above the mid-August climatological normal of 25–26°C. This baseline, combined with clear skies expected to maximize diurnal heating under light winds and moderate humidity, underpins the market’s close split between 27°C and 28°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak temperature, with any differences likely arising from minor timing of cloud cover or localized lake-breeze effects rather than large-scale atmospheric shifts. Traders appear to weigh the potential for the actual maximum to settle one degree lower if boundary-layer mixing is stronger than anticipated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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