**Mainly sunny conditions and an official forecast high of 26°C from Environment and Climate Change Canada are anchoring the market around 25–26°C.** Recent model consensus and short-range guidance show stable high pressure supporting daytime warming into the mid-20s, with humidex values near 29°C but limited moisture to cap extreme heat. Climatologically, Toronto’s August daily maxima average near 24–25°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than a significant heat anomaly. Isolated thunderstorm chances mentioned in longer-range outlooks have not materialized in the latest runs, keeping upside risk low. Traders are pricing the 55.5% implied probability on 25°C and 21% on 26°C because official observations and model outputs cluster tightly in this narrow range; any last-hour cloud cover or slight cooling could favor 24°C (currently 14.5%), while stronger insolation would push toward 26°C. No major data releases or model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 20?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 20?
25°C 57%
26°C 19%
24°C 15%
23°C 3.5%
BARU
$10,067 Vol.
BARU
$10,067 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
15%
25°C
57%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 57%
26°C 19%
24°C 15%
23°C 3.5%
BARU
$10,067 Vol.
BARU
$10,067 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
21°C or below
$455 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$780 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,526 Vol.
15%
25°C
$1,944 Vol.
57%
26°C
$3,266 Vol.
19%
27°C
$836 Vol.
3%
28°C
$570 Vol.
1%
29°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mainly sunny conditions and an official forecast high of 26°C from Environment and Climate Change Canada are anchoring the market around 25–26°C.**
Recent model consensus and short-range guidance show stable high pressure supporting daytime warming into the mid-20s, with humidex values near 29°C but limited moisture to cap extreme heat. Climatologically, Toronto’s August daily maxima average near 24–25°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than a significant heat anomaly. Isolated thunderstorm chances mentioned in longer-range outlooks have not materialized in the latest runs, keeping upside risk low.
Traders are pricing the 55.5% implied probability on 25°C and 21% on 26°C because official observations and model outputs cluster tightly in this narrow range; any last-hour cloud cover or slight cooling could favor 24°C (currently 14.5%), while stronger insolation would push toward 26°C. No major data releases or model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$10,067Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mainly sunny conditions and an official forecast high of 26°C from Environment and Climate Change Canada are anchoring the market around 25–26°C.**
Recent model consensus and short-range guidance show stable high pressure supporting daytime warming into the mid-20s, with humidex values near 29°C but limited moisture to cap extreme heat. Climatologically, Toronto’s August daily maxima average near 24–25°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than a significant heat anomaly. Isolated thunderstorm chances mentioned in longer-range outlooks have not materialized in the latest runs, keeping upside risk low.
Traders are pricing the 55.5% implied probability on 25°C and 21% on 26°C because official observations and model outputs cluster tightly in this narrow range; any last-hour cloud cover or slight cooling could favor 24°C (currently 14.5%), while stronger insolation would push toward 26°C. No major data releases or model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,067Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mainly sunny conditions and an official forecast high of 26°C from Environment and Climate Change Canada are anchoring the market around 25–26°C.** Recent model consensus and short-range guidance show stable high pressure supporting daytime warming into the mid-20s, with humidex values near 29°C but limited moisture to cap extreme heat. Climatologically, Toronto’s August daily maxima average near 24–25°C, so the current setup aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than a significant heat anomaly. Isolated thunderstorm chances mentioned in longer-range outlooks have not materialized in the latest runs, keeping upside risk low. Traders are pricing the 55.5% implied probability on 25°C and 21% on 26°C because official observations and model outputs cluster tightly in this narrow range; any last-hour cloud cover or slight cooling could favor 24°C (currently 14.5%), while stronger insolation would push toward 26°C. No major data releases or model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours to alter this consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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