Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows steady rates of magnitude 5.5 and larger earthquakes, aligning with historical weekly averages of roughly six to eight events worldwide. Trader consensus favoring exactly seven during May 11–17 reflects this baseline activity, absent any major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering in active zones such as the Philippines or South Pacific. Recent USGS reports confirm typical distribution across tectonic boundaries without elevated swarm activity, while model consensus and ongoing real-time catalogs support limited upside risk for higher totals. Continuous data releases through the week’s end provide the primary inputs for resolution against the magnitude threshold on the moment magnitude scale.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
7 74.4%
8 15.4%
9 6.0%
>9 1.9%
$132,613 Vol.
$132,613 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
<1%
7
74%
8
15%
9
6%
>9
2%
7 74.4%
8 15.4%
9 6.0%
>9 1.9%
$132,613 Vol.
$132,613 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
$57,737 Vol.
<1%
4
$20,043 Vol.
1%
5
$20,156 Vol.
1%
6
$3,375 Vol.
<1%
7
$2,535 Vol.
74%
8
$4,925 Vol.
15%
9
$6,147 Vol.
6%
>9
$17,701 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows steady rates of magnitude 5.5 and larger earthquakes, aligning with historical weekly averages of roughly six to eight events worldwide. Trader consensus favoring exactly seven during May 11–17 reflects this baseline activity, absent any major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering in active zones such as the Philippines or South Pacific. Recent USGS reports confirm typical distribution across tectonic boundaries without elevated swarm activity, while model consensus and ongoing real-time catalogs support limited upside risk for higher totals. Continuous data releases through the week’s end provide the primary inputs for resolution against the magnitude threshold on the moment magnitude scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$132,613Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows steady rates of magnitude 5.5 and larger earthquakes, aligning with historical weekly averages of roughly six to eight events worldwide. Trader consensus favoring exactly seven during May 11–17 reflects this baseline activity, absent any major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering in active zones such as the Philippines or South Pacific. Recent USGS reports confirm typical distribution across tectonic boundaries without elevated swarm activity, while model consensus and ongoing real-time catalogs support limited upside risk for higher totals. Continuous data releases through the week’s end provide the primary inputs for resolution against the magnitude threshold on the moment magnitude scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$132,613Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows steady rates of magnitude 5.5 and larger earthquakes, aligning with historical weekly averages of roughly six to eight events worldwide. Trader consensus favoring exactly seven during May 11–17 reflects this baseline activity, absent any major aftershock sequences or unusual clustering in active zones such as the Philippines or South Pacific. Recent USGS reports confirm typical distribution across tectonic boundaries without elevated swarm activity, while model consensus and ongoing real-time catalogs support limited upside risk for higher totals. Continuous data releases through the week’s end provide the primary inputs for resolution against the magnitude threshold on the moment magnitude scale.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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