Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested and an even split of 18 defenses per party. The 24–25 outcome leads trader pricing because 18 open seats from term limits and retirements create volatility across battlegrounds, while recent ratings shifts—such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and Michigan leaning Democratic—signal modest headwinds for GOP retention. Primaries in states including South Carolina and Tennessee, alongside national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, reinforce expectations of limited net change rather than large swings. Forecasters note competitive paths in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Kansas that could alter the final tally depending on candidate quality and turnout patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBerapa banyak Gubernur Republik setelah pemilihan paruh waktu 2026?
Berapa banyak Gubernur Republik setelah pemilihan paruh waktu 2026?
24–25 39%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 12%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
12%
22–23
25%
24–25
37%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
24–25 39%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 12%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<22
$46,522 Vol.
12%
22–23
$8,153 Vol.
25%
24–25
$31,073 Vol.
37%
26–27
$15,376 Vol.
16%
28–29
$555,663 Vol.
5%
30–31
$7,361 Vol.
1%
32+
$13,953 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested and an even split of 18 defenses per party. The 24–25 outcome leads trader pricing because 18 open seats from term limits and retirements create volatility across battlegrounds, while recent ratings shifts—such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and Michigan leaning Democratic—signal modest headwinds for GOP retention. Primaries in states including South Carolina and Tennessee, alongside national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, reinforce expectations of limited net change rather than large swings. Forecasters note competitive paths in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Kansas that could alter the final tally depending on candidate quality and turnout patterns.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$678,101Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested and an even split of 18 defenses per party. The 24–25 outcome leads trader pricing because 18 open seats from term limits and retirements create volatility across battlegrounds, while recent ratings shifts—such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and Michigan leaning Democratic—signal modest headwinds for GOP retention. Primaries in states including South Carolina and Tennessee, alongside national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, reinforce expectations of limited net change rather than large swings. Forecasters note competitive paths in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Kansas that could alter the final tally depending on candidate quality and turnout patterns.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$678,101Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships against 24 for Democrats heading into the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested and an even split of 18 defenses per party. The 24–25 outcome leads trader pricing because 18 open seats from term limits and retirements create volatility across battlegrounds, while recent ratings shifts—such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and Michigan leaning Democratic—signal modest headwinds for GOP retention. Primaries in states including South Carolina and Tennessee, alongside national midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party, reinforce expectations of limited net change rather than large swings. Forecasters note competitive paths in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Kansas that could alter the final tally depending on candidate quality and turnout patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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