The October 27, 2026 Israeli election produced an official vote count placing Shas at 5.26 percent of valid ballots and six Knesset seats. Pre-election polling averages had projected seven to eight seats for the ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, but final tallies—including double-envelope ballots—shifted support toward Likud within the Netanyahu bloc, reducing Shas's share. With nearly all ballots counted and certification expected shortly, trader consensus on an outcome below 6 percent reflects this verified result. Late adjustments or disputes over specific localities remain theoretically possible yet have shown negligible impact in prior cycles.
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