Israel's restraint in responding to Houthi missile and drone barrages launched from Yemen on March 28, 2026, and subsequent days remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the timing of any Israeli military action. These attacks, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah amid the broader U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iranian targets, were largely intercepted by Israeli defenses with U.S. support, avoiding direct escalation on Yemeni soil. Prior Israeli strikes on Houthi infrastructure occurred in 2025, but no verified airstrikes or operations have taken place in the past 30 days as focus stays on interceptions and potential diplomatic channels. Further successful Houthi strikes on Israeli territory or intensified Red Sea threats could alter this dynamic before key resolution dates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTindakan militer Israel terhadap Yaman oleh...?
Tindakan militer Israel terhadap Yaman oleh...?
$1,740,183 Vol.
May 31, 2026
31 Mei
13%
30 Juni
22%
$1,740,183 Vol.
31 Mei
$120,420 Vol.
13%
30 Juni
$466,792 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's restraint in responding to Houthi missile and drone barrages launched from Yemen on March 28, 2026, and subsequent days remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the timing of any Israeli military action. These attacks, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah amid the broader U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iranian targets, were largely intercepted by Israeli defenses with U.S. support, avoiding direct escalation on Yemeni soil. Prior Israeli strikes on Houthi infrastructure occurred in 2025, but no verified airstrikes or operations have taken place in the past 30 days as focus stays on interceptions and potential diplomatic channels. Further successful Houthi strikes on Israeli territory or intensified Red Sea threats could alter this dynamic before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Volume
$1,740,183Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's restraint in responding to Houthi missile and drone barrages launched from Yemen on March 28, 2026, and subsequent days remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the timing of any Israeli military action. These attacks, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah amid the broader U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iranian targets, were largely intercepted by Israeli defenses with U.S. support, avoiding direct escalation on Yemeni soil. Prior Israeli strikes on Houthi infrastructure occurred in 2025, but no verified airstrikes or operations have taken place in the past 30 days as focus stays on interceptions and potential diplomatic channels. Further successful Houthi strikes on Israeli territory or intensified Red Sea threats could alter this dynamic before key resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,740,183Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's restraint in responding to Houthi missile and drone barrages launched from Yemen on March 28, 2026, and subsequent days remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on the timing of any Israeli military action. These attacks, coordinated with Iran and Hezbollah amid the broader U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iranian targets, were largely intercepted by Israeli defenses with U.S. support, avoiding direct escalation on Yemeni soil. Prior Israeli strikes on Houthi infrastructure occurred in 2025, but no verified airstrikes or operations have taken place in the past 30 days as focus stays on interceptions and potential diplomatic channels. Further successful Houthi strikes on Israeli territory or intensified Red Sea threats could alter this dynamic before key resolution dates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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