The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
15-19 3.4%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
$11,970 Vol.
$11,970 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
15-19 3.4%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
$11,970 Vol.
$11,970 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,331 Vol.
94%
5-9
$2,064 Vol.
2%
10-14
$981 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Vol.
3%
20-24
$946 Vol.
1%
25-29
$401 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Vol.
1%
35-39
$443 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Vol.
1%
50-54
$498 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Vol.
<1%
60+
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Volume
$11,970Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,970Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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