Skip to main content
icon for Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Julia Letlow 90%

John Fleming 9.4%

Bill Cassidy <1%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$364,808 Vol.

Julia Letlow 90%

John Fleming 9.4%

Bill Cassidy <1%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$364,808 Vol.

Julia Letlow

$56,193 Vol.

90%

John Fleming

$80,825 Vol.

9%

Bill Cassidy

$66,300 Vol.

<1%

Julie Emerson

$37,342 Vol.

<1%

Blake Miguez

$24,964 Vol.

<1%

Kathy Seiden

$11,888 Vol.

<1%

Eric Skrmetta

$15,997 Vol.

<1%

Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt

$12,205 Vol.

<1%

Randall Arrington

$18,702 Vol.

<1%

Tracy Dendy

$20,095 Vol.

<1%

Chris Holder

$9,207 Vol.

<1%

Xan John

$11,091 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow’s commanding performance in the May 16 Louisiana Republican Senate primary, where she captured roughly 45 percent of the vote with President Trump’s endorsement, has solidified trader consensus around her nomination prospects in the June 27 runoff against state Treasurer John Fleming. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy finished third and was eliminated, reflecting party rejection of his earlier break with Trump on key votes. Fleming’s second-place showing keeps the contest competitive yet positions Letlow as the clear frontrunner in a state where the GOP nominee is expected to prevail in November. Upcoming campaign events and endorsements in the runoff window remain the primary variables that could still shift implied probabilities before the primary winner is finalized.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$364,808
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow’s commanding performance in the May 16 Louisiana Republican Senate primary, where she captured roughly 45 percent of the vote with President Trump’s endorsement, has solidified trader consensus around her nomination prospects in the June 27 runoff against state Treasurer John Fleming. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy finished third and was eliminated, reflecting party rejection of his earlier break with Trump on key votes. Fleming’s second-place showing keeps the contest competitive yet positions Letlow as the clear frontrunner in a state where the GOP nominee is expected to prevail in November. Upcoming campaign events and endorsements in the runoff window remain the primary variables that could still shift implied probabilities before the primary winner is finalized.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$364,808
Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Julia Letlow" di 90%, diikuti oleh "John Fleming" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 90¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $364.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Julia Letlow" di 90%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Fleming" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.