Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 9 clustered tightly between 12–14°C, driven by persistent westerly flow advecting mild North Sea air under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Radiational cooling will be limited by high humidity and wind speeds of 10–16 mph, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 12°C. This aligns with the market's near-even split among the top three outcomes and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C for the date. Final resolution hinges on post-sunset observations and any last model adjustments before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
12°C 27%
15°C 24%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
27%
13°C
33%
14°C
31%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
5%
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
12°C 27%
15°C 24%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
27%
13°C
33%
14°C
31%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 9 clustered tightly between 12–14°C, driven by persistent westerly flow advecting mild North Sea air under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Radiational cooling will be limited by high humidity and wind speeds of 10–16 mph, while any brief clearing could allow brief dips toward 12°C. This aligns with the market's near-even split among the top three outcomes and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.4°C for the date. Final resolution hinges on post-sunset observations and any last model adjustments before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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