Recent cooling from northerly winds has lowered Ankara's daily minima from the mid-20s°C earlier in August to around 13–15°C, per multiple models including ECMWF guidance. Clear skies overnight promote strong radiative cooling on the Anatolian plateau, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit the drop. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range around 13–15°C, with the near-even split between 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher outcomes highlighting model sensitivity to exact timing of the cold air advection and local microclimate effects at Ankara's ~900 m elevation. Updated short-range runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
9°C or below 59%
19°C or higher 53%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
9°C or below
59%
10°C
47%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
53%
9°C or below 59%
19°C or higher 53%
11°C 49%
12°C 49%
9°C or below
59%
10°C
47%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from northerly winds has lowered Ankara's daily minima from the mid-20s°C earlier in August to around 13–15°C, per multiple models including ECMWF guidance. Clear skies overnight promote strong radiative cooling on the Anatolian plateau, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit the drop. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range around 13–15°C, with the near-even split between 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher outcomes highlighting model sensitivity to exact timing of the cold air advection and local microclimate effects at Ankara's ~900 m elevation. Updated short-range runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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