Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, Met Office, and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on August 29 of 23–25 °C, driven by persistent northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and a 20–40 % chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable cooldown from the prior week’s 28–30 °C readings amid a transient trough. Ensemble consensus clusters around 23–24 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with Ankara’s late-August climatology when such patterns occur. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23 °C (35.5 %) and 24 °C (22.5 %), while lower outcomes remain possible if convection develops earlier than modeled. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
23°C 35%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C or below 9%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C or below 9%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service, Met Office, and numerical models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara on August 29 of 23–25 °C, driven by persistent northerly flow, increased cloud cover, and a 20–40 % chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable cooldown from the prior week’s 28–30 °C readings amid a transient trough. Ensemble consensus clusters around 23–24 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with Ankara’s late-August climatology when such patterns occur. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 23 °C (35.5 %) and 24 °C (22.5 %), while lower outcomes remain possible if convection develops earlier than modeled. Updated runs tomorrow morning will further refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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