Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Ankara overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of early autumn in Turkey’s continental interior. This setup favors steady heat loss from the surface after sunset, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further drops, while historical September averages for the city hover around 14°C lows. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered among 11–14°C outcomes ahead of official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 19?
13°C 46%
10°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
39%
11°C
30%
12°C
21%
13°C
34%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
38%
17°C
39%
18°C
5%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 46%
10°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$7 Vol.
21%
13°C
$16 Vol.
34%
14°C
$38 Vol.
22%
15°C
$16 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Ankara overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of early autumn in Turkey’s continental interior. This setup favors steady heat loss from the surface after sunset, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further drops, while historical September averages for the city hover around 14°C lows. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered among 11–14°C outcomes ahead of official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$78Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Ankara overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of early autumn in Turkey’s continental interior. This setup favors steady heat loss from the surface after sunset, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further drops, while historical September averages for the city hover around 14°C lows. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered among 11–14°C outcomes ahead of official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates a minimum temperature near 12–14°C in Ankara overnight into September 19, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of early autumn in Turkey’s continental interior. This setup favors steady heat loss from the surface after sunset, with dew points near 11–13°C limiting further drops, while historical September averages for the city hover around 14°C lows. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered among 11–14°C outcomes ahead of official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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