Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 71°F for Atlanta on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit nocturnal cooling. This baseline supports the market's elevated 50% implied probability on 65°F or below, as traders weigh potential for localized cooling from overnight showers or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows average around 65°F, yet persistent warm advection keeps higher bins (70-73°F) clustered near 20% each, reflecting consensus on limited diurnal range. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will clarify whether convection or clearer skies shift the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Atlanta on September 21?
65°F or below 93%
72-73°F 48%
66-67°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
65°F or below
93%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
65°F or below 93%
72-73°F 48%
66-67°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
65°F or below
93%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 71°F for Atlanta on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit nocturnal cooling. This baseline supports the market's elevated 50% implied probability on 65°F or below, as traders weigh potential for localized cooling from overnight showers or subtle model spreads in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September lows average around 65°F, yet persistent warm advection keeps higher bins (70-73°F) clustered near 20% each, reflecting consensus on limited diurnal range. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will clarify whether convection or clearer skies shift the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan