**Forecast models for Chengdu on September 23, 2026, currently cluster around overnight lows of 19–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, creating tight market spreads.** Subtropical humidity in the Sichuan Basin, combined with light southerly winds and moderate precipitation chances (50–70% in most runs), moderates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Ensemble differences between GFS, ECMWF, and regional models introduce the observed uncertainty, with some solutions allowing brief clearer skies that could push readings toward 18°C or hold them near 22°C. Historical September climatology (average lows near 19–20°C) provides context, yet the active frontal influence this week adds variability. Traders are weighting near-term official updates from the China Meteorological Administration most heavily as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 23?
25°C or higher 72%
15°C or below 47%
16°C 30%
21°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
15°C or below
47%
16°C
30%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
72%
25°C or higher 72%
15°C or below 47%
16°C 30%
21°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
15°C or below
$100 Vol.
47%
16°C
$40 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C or higher
$100 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Chengdu on September 23, 2026, currently cluster around overnight lows of 19–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, creating tight market spreads.**
Subtropical humidity in the Sichuan Basin, combined with light southerly winds and moderate precipitation chances (50–70% in most runs), moderates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Ensemble differences between GFS, ECMWF, and regional models introduce the observed uncertainty, with some solutions allowing brief clearer skies that could push readings toward 18°C or hold them near 22°C. Historical September climatology (average lows near 19–20°C) provides context, yet the active frontal influence this week adds variability. Traders are weighting near-term official updates from the China Meteorological Administration most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$240Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Chengdu on September 23, 2026, currently cluster around overnight lows of 19–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, creating tight market spreads.**
Subtropical humidity in the Sichuan Basin, combined with light southerly winds and moderate precipitation chances (50–70% in most runs), moderates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Ensemble differences between GFS, ECMWF, and regional models introduce the observed uncertainty, with some solutions allowing brief clearer skies that could push readings toward 18°C or hold them near 22°C. Historical September climatology (average lows near 19–20°C) provides context, yet the active frontal influence this week adds variability. Traders are weighting near-term official updates from the China Meteorological Administration most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$240Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Chengdu on September 23, 2026, currently cluster around overnight lows of 19–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, creating tight market spreads.** Subtropical humidity in the Sichuan Basin, combined with light southerly winds and moderate precipitation chances (50–70% in most runs), moderates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Ensemble differences between GFS, ECMWF, and regional models introduce the observed uncertainty, with some solutions allowing brief clearer skies that could push readings toward 18°C or hold them near 22°C. Historical September climatology (average lows near 19–20°C) provides context, yet the active frontal influence this week adds variability. Traders are weighting near-term official updates from the China Meteorological Administration most heavily as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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