Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models places Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 6 near 26 °C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly flow, and dew points around 17–19 °C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C bin and secondary support for 25 °C, as persistent high pressure and seasonal warmth suppress stronger radiational cooling typical of autumn transitions. Historical September minima in the region average near 22–24 °C, but current observations and short-range guidance show no cold-air advection or increased cloud cover to drive temperatures lower before midnight resolution. Traders are monitoring the final evening observations for any late drop that could shift implied probabilities toward the 24 °C or cooler outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
26°C 97%
21°C or below 43%
24°C 10.0%
23°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
43%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
97%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 97%
21°C or below 43%
24°C 10.0%
23°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
43%
22°C
$50 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
7%
24°C
$138 Vol.
10%
25°C
$45 Vol.
24%
26°C
$383 Vol.
97%
27°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models places Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 6 near 26 °C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly flow, and dew points around 17–19 °C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C bin and secondary support for 25 °C, as persistent high pressure and seasonal warmth suppress stronger radiational cooling typical of autumn transitions. Historical September minima in the region average near 22–24 °C, but current observations and short-range guidance show no cold-air advection or increased cloud cover to drive temperatures lower before midnight resolution. Traders are monitoring the final evening observations for any late drop that could shift implied probabilities toward the 24 °C or cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$680Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models places Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 6 near 26 °C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly flow, and dew points around 17–19 °C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C bin and secondary support for 25 °C, as persistent high pressure and seasonal warmth suppress stronger radiational cooling typical of autumn transitions. Historical September minima in the region average near 22–24 °C, but current observations and short-range guidance show no cold-air advection or increased cloud cover to drive temperatures lower before midnight resolution. Traders are monitoring the final evening observations for any late drop that could shift implied probabilities toward the 24 °C or cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$680Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models places Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 6 near 26 °C under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southeasterly flow, and dew points around 17–19 °C that limit nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 26 °C bin and secondary support for 25 °C, as persistent high pressure and seasonal warmth suppress stronger radiational cooling typical of autumn transitions. Historical September minima in the region average near 22–24 °C, but current observations and short-range guidance show no cold-air advection or increased cloud cover to drive temperatures lower before midnight resolution. Traders are monitoring the final evening observations for any late drop that could shift implied probabilities toward the 24 °C or cooler outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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