A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil has driven the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C as the likely daily maximum for São Paulo on September 7. Polar air advection behind the front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is sharply limiting daytime warming after earlier September highs near 25–30°C. Official guidance from meteorological agencies and ensemble models shows consensus on a cool, overcast regime with southeasterly winds, though small differences in front timing, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation under variable cloud decks create the observed spread between 13°C and 15°C outcomes. Traders are weighting recent model runs and climatological analogs for early-spring cold surges, with resolution hinging on the precise peak temperature recorded by official stations amid these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 7?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 7?
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
12°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
13%
13°C
29%
14°C
32%
15°C
27%
16°C or higher
8%
14°C 32%
13°C 29%
15°C 27%
12°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
7°C
$0 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
4%
9°C
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C or higher
$23 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil has driven the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C as the likely daily maximum for São Paulo on September 7. Polar air advection behind the front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is sharply limiting daytime warming after earlier September highs near 25–30°C. Official guidance from meteorological agencies and ensemble models shows consensus on a cool, overcast regime with southeasterly winds, though small differences in front timing, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation under variable cloud decks create the observed spread between 13°C and 15°C outcomes. Traders are weighting recent model runs and climatological analogs for early-spring cold surges, with resolution hinging on the precise peak temperature recorded by official stations amid these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$23Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil has driven the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C as the likely daily maximum for São Paulo on September 7. Polar air advection behind the front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is sharply limiting daytime warming after earlier September highs near 25–30°C. Official guidance from meteorological agencies and ensemble models shows consensus on a cool, overcast regime with southeasterly winds, though small differences in front timing, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation under variable cloud decks create the observed spread between 13°C and 15°C outcomes. Traders are weighting recent model runs and climatological analogs for early-spring cold surges, with resolution hinging on the precise peak temperature recorded by official stations amid these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing across southeastern Brazil has driven the market's tight clustering around 13–15°C as the likely daily maximum for São Paulo on September 7. Polar air advection behind the front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is sharply limiting daytime warming after earlier September highs near 25–30°C. Official guidance from meteorological agencies and ensemble models shows consensus on a cool, overcast regime with southeasterly winds, though small differences in front timing, boundary-layer moisture, and insolation under variable cloud decks create the observed spread between 13°C and 15°C outcomes. Traders are weighting recent model runs and climatological analogs for early-spring cold surges, with resolution hinging on the precise peak temperature recorded by official stations amid these conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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