Short-term ensemble forecasts for Panama City highlight substantial uncertainty in maximum temperatures for September 7, with models showing a tight spread around 30–33°C driven by variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and the positioning of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Regional sea surface temperatures near 29°C establish a warm baseline typical for early September, yet steering patterns and localized rainfall timing could either suppress or elevate daily highs. Historical climatology places average maxima near 31°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C (24.0%), 32°C (23.5%), and 33°C or higher (23.0%), reflecting trader consensus on forecast divergence rather than a clear signal. Updated runs from NOAA and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 20%
33°C or higher 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
27%
33°C or higher
16%
31°C 28%
32°C 27%
29°C 20%
33°C or higher 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts for Panama City highlight substantial uncertainty in maximum temperatures for September 7, with models showing a tight spread around 30–33°C driven by variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and the positioning of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Regional sea surface temperatures near 29°C establish a warm baseline typical for early September, yet steering patterns and localized rainfall timing could either suppress or elevate daily highs. Historical climatology places average maxima near 31°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C (24.0%), 32°C (23.5%), and 33°C or higher (23.0%), reflecting trader consensus on forecast divergence rather than a clear signal. Updated runs from NOAA and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts for Panama City highlight substantial uncertainty in maximum temperatures for September 7, with models showing a tight spread around 30–33°C driven by variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and the positioning of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Regional sea surface temperatures near 29°C establish a warm baseline typical for early September, yet steering patterns and localized rainfall timing could either suppress or elevate daily highs. Historical climatology places average maxima near 31°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C (24.0%), 32°C (23.5%), and 33°C or higher (23.0%), reflecting trader consensus on forecast divergence rather than a clear signal. Updated runs from NOAA and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts for Panama City highlight substantial uncertainty in maximum temperatures for September 7, with models showing a tight spread around 30–33°C driven by variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and the positioning of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Regional sea surface temperatures near 29°C establish a warm baseline typical for early September, yet steering patterns and localized rainfall timing could either suppress or elevate daily highs. Historical climatology places average maxima near 31°C, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 31°C (24.0%), 32°C (23.5%), and 33°C or higher (23.0%), reflecting trader consensus on forecast divergence rather than a clear signal. Updated runs from NOAA and regional models over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan