Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
22°C or below 61%
27°C 45%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
61%
23°C
23%
24°C
28%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
45%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 61%
27°C 45%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
61%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$42 Vol.
45%
28°C
$331 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$373Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$373Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 22, with a range of 27–31°C under mainly cloudy skies and scattered showers driven by weak easterly winds and upper-air disturbances. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting model consensus on stable subtropical conditions without significant cooling influences. Recent September observations show overnight lows consistently in the mid-20s amid an emerging El Niño pattern favoring above-normal warmth, while the 31% probability on 22°C or below captures residual uncertainty from potential shower-induced dips or forecast revisions. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are expected in the immediate window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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