Traders assign an 88% implied probability to a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 21 because official Hong Kong Observatory readings show minimum temperatures since midnight clustered around 26–27.8°C across urban and airport stations, with little overnight cooling. Persistent high humidity near 70–90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover have limited radiative heat loss under typical late-summer conditions. Recent model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September support a narrow range near 26–28°C rather than cooler outcomes, as no cold surge or clear-sky radiative event has materialized. Updated forecasts through the evening will determine whether any brief dip below 27°C occurs before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
27°C 88%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C or below 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
88%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 88%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C or below 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$37 Vol.
2%
23°C
$424 Vol.
1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
2%
25°C
$469 Vol.
5%
26°C
$914 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,823 Vol.
88%
28°C
$3,357 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$329 Vol.
1%
31°C
$333 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 21 because official Hong Kong Observatory readings show minimum temperatures since midnight clustered around 26–27.8°C across urban and airport stations, with little overnight cooling. Persistent high humidity near 70–90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover have limited radiative heat loss under typical late-summer conditions. Recent model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September support a narrow range near 26–28°C rather than cooler outcomes, as no cold surge or clear-sky radiative event has materialized. Updated forecasts through the evening will determine whether any brief dip below 27°C occurs before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,954Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign an 88% implied probability to a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 21 because official Hong Kong Observatory readings show minimum temperatures since midnight clustered around 26–27.8°C across urban and airport stations, with little overnight cooling. Persistent high humidity near 70–90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover have limited radiative heat loss under typical late-summer conditions. Recent model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September support a narrow range near 26–28°C rather than cooler outcomes, as no cold surge or clear-sky radiative event has materialized. Updated forecasts through the evening will determine whether any brief dip below 27°C occurs before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,954Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 88% implied probability to a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 21 because official Hong Kong Observatory readings show minimum temperatures since midnight clustered around 26–27.8°C across urban and airport stations, with little overnight cooling. Persistent high humidity near 70–90%, light winds, and partial cloud cover have limited radiative heat loss under typical late-summer conditions. Recent model guidance and climatological norms for mid-September support a narrow range near 26–28°C rather than cooler outcomes, as no cold surge or clear-sky radiative event has materialized. Updated forecasts through the evening will determine whether any brief dip below 27°C occurs before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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