Traders have converged overwhelmingly on an 18°C minimum for London on August 13, driven by Met Office observations and short-range forecast models showing stable nocturnal temperatures under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically fall between 15–20°C absent major synoptic systems. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect the absence of significant uncertainty as the day concludes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted localized drop from unexpected cloud cover, advection of cooler air, or post-event measurement revisions at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts highly unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 13?
Lowest temperature in London on August 13?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,349 Vol.
$17,349 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,349 Vol.
$17,349 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
14°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,288 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,546 Vol.
100%
19°C
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,165 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,301 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on an 18°C minimum for London on August 13, driven by Met Office observations and short-range forecast models showing stable nocturnal temperatures under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically fall between 15–20°C absent major synoptic systems. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect the absence of significant uncertainty as the day concludes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted localized drop from unexpected cloud cover, advection of cooler air, or post-event measurement revisions at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,349Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on an 18°C minimum for London on August 13, driven by Met Office observations and short-range forecast models showing stable nocturnal temperatures under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically fall between 15–20°C absent major synoptic systems. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect the absence of significant uncertainty as the day concludes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted localized drop from unexpected cloud cover, advection of cooler air, or post-event measurement revisions at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,349Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged overwhelmingly on an 18°C minimum for London on August 13, driven by Met Office observations and short-range forecast models showing stable nocturnal temperatures under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where minimums typically fall between 15–20°C absent major synoptic systems. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect the absence of significant uncertainty as the day concludes. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted localized drop from unexpected cloud cover, advection of cooler air, or post-event measurement revisions at official stations, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts highly unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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